Untitled

 avatar
unknown
plain_text
2 months ago
5.7 kB
10
Indexable
Here are all 16 trades with full entry/exit reasoning:

#1 — 2025-01-01 | bull_call 51400/51600 | -2.82 pts (-2.7%) | agent_exit

Entry 10:55→11:20 | Premium: 106.12 | Conf: 75
Why entered: Strong volume breakout above 51400, max pain shifted higher by 200pts, short covering signal despite CE buildup
What went wrong: Exited manually after momentum failed — ATM CE OI resistance held
#2 — 2025-01-02 | bull_put 49600/49800 | +69.30 pts (+59.0%) ★ | profit_target

Entry 10:05→11:15 | Premium: 82.50 | Conf: 75
Why entered: Uptrend, heavy PE OI at 49800 as strong support base, capitalizing on level break below ATM
Why exited: Hit profit target — held for ~70 mins, premium decayed enough
#3 — 2025-01-02 | bear_call 50000/49800 | +0.20 pts (+0.2%) | agent_exit

Entry 13:50→14:35 | Premium: 99.90 | Conf: 75
Why entered: PCR dropped sharply to 0.73, heavy CE OI buildup signalling resistance above ATM
What went wrong: Barely broke even — bearish thesis didn't play out, exited flat
#4 — 2025-01-04 | bear_put 51400/51200 | +11.00 pts (+12.2%) | agent_exit

Entry 10:40→12:25 | Premium: 89.88 | Conf: 85
Why entered: Consecutive high-volume breakdown candles, 300pt rapid drop, bearish PCR flip, negative VWAP distance
Why exited: Manually captured partial move, didn't wait for full leg
#5 — 2025-01-14 | bull_put 48700/48800 | +81.25 pts (+148.7%) ★ BEST | profit_target

Entry 10:45→14:15 | Premium: 45.35 | Conf: 80
Why entered: Price broke above 48800 with strong volume, max pain shifted up, PE-heavy OI at ATM negated resistance trap, support well-defined
Why exited: Hit profit target — held 3.5 hrs, massive premium decay on low-premium entry
#6 — 2025-01-14 | bull_put 48700/48900 | -5.35 pts (-4.7%) | agent_exit

Entry 14:40→14:50 | Premium: 87.10 | Conf: 75
Why entered: Uptrend continuing, PCR shifted 0.71→0.94, massive PE OI buildup as support
What went wrong: Entered too late (14:40, near session close), insufficient time for trade to work
#7 — 2025-01-15 | bear_call 49200/49000 | -10.93 pts (-10.5%) | agent_exit

Entry 10:00→10:55 | Premium: 95.95 | Conf: 85
Why entered: PCR dropped 0.96→0.77, 49000 ATM had massive CE OI addition (1.23M) vs tiny PE (44k), strong resistance wall against price spike
What went wrong: Price broke through resistance — CE OI wall was not strong enough to hold
#8 — 2025-01-16 | bear_put 49400/49200 | +5.02 pts (+5.4%) | agent_exit

Entry 14:30→14:55 | Premium: 92.70 | Conf: 85
Why entered: Consecutive high-volume breakdown crossing 49407, declining PCR, significant CE OI at 49500
Why exited: Manually took profit — short 25-min hold near EOD
#9 — 2025-01-17 | bear_put 48700/48500 | -3.88 pts (-4.0%) | agent_exit

Entry 10:45→14:40 | Premium: 97.88 | Conf: 85
Why entered: High-volume breakdown (2.2x avg), falling PCR, massive CE OI confirming resistance at 48700/48600
What went wrong: Held 4 hrs with no movement — bearish thesis stalled, eventually cut
#10 — 2025-01-20 | bull_call 49700/49900 | -6.00 pts (-6.2%) | agent_exit

Entry 13:25→14:05 | Premium: 96.42 | Conf: 85
Why entered: Strong breakout above 49700 with high volume, short covering at CE (49700: -42k, 50000: -323k) trapping call writers, PE buildup as support
What went wrong: Trapped call writers thesis failed — market reversed, 40-min cut
#11 — 2025-01-21 | bear_put 49200/49000 | +12.85 pts (+13.6%) | agent_exit

Entry 10:05→10:25 | Premium: 94.27 | Conf: 85
Why entered: Sharp breakdown below 49572 support with high volume, massive CE OI at 49500 (+1.1M) as resistance, bearish PCR
Why exited: Quick 20-min win — captured opening momentum cleanly
#12 — 2025-01-21 | bear_call 49200/49000 | +10.68 pts (+9.9%) | time_stop

Entry 13:35→15:15 | Premium: 92.52 | Conf: 85
Why entered: High-volume breakdown below 49300, falling PCR, max pain shifting down to 49200, heavy CE OI — targeting PE support at 49000
Why exited: Hit time stop (15:15 session cutoff) — would have exited at EOD regardless
#13 — 2025-01-22 | bear_put 48600/48400 | +4.95 pts (+5.3%) | agent_exit

Entry 11:20→11:55 | Premium: 93.92 | Conf: 85
Why entered: Price rallying into 49000 macro CE wall (1.2M OI), PE unwinding, PCR falling to 0.75 — bearish rejection expected
Why exited: Took partial profit at 35-min hold
#14 — 2025-01-23 | bear_put 48800/48600 | +9.70 pts (+10.8%) | agent_exit

Entry 11:00→11:45 | Premium: 89.77 | Conf: 85
Why entered: High-volume breakdown below 48591 support, falling PCR (0.82), max pain shifting to 48600, heavy CE buildup
Why exited: Clean 45-min downside capture
#15 — 2025-01-27 | bull_put 47900/48000 | -6.97 pts (-11.6%) ⚠ aborted run | agent_exit

Entry 10:05→10:25 | Premium: 39.62 | Conf: 85
Why entered: Breakdown below 48761 (z-score 1.96), heavy PE at 49000 trapping put writers, falling PCR, downtrend — bearish continuation expected
What went wrong: Process killed mid-day, day was replayed — treat as phantom trade
#16 — 2025-01-27 | bull_put 47800/48000 | +67.97 pts (+58.9%) ★ | profit_target

Entry 11:10→12:05 | Premium: 84.52 | Conf: 85
Why entered: Uptrend, rising PCR (1.24), massive PE OI at 48000 (1.8M+) as support below ATM — aligned with bull-put-oi-support wiki rule
Why exited: Hit profit target — 55-min hold, wiki rule directly drove the decision
Key patterns:

Winners: OI-aligned entries (big PE/CE walls providing clear support/resistance) + time to run (profit_target exits)
Losers: OI walls that broke (CE resistance failed #7, #10), late-session entries (#6), momentum that stalled (#9)
Wiki learning working: Trade #16 explicitly referenced the bull-put-oi-support rule it built from #2 and #4
Editor is loading...
Leave a Comment